AI video generator market forecast, November 2026
Miles FosterOwner and tester, RankDude
The forecastâ–Ľ Fallingthrough May 2027
- November vs October
- -1.0%
- May 2027, six months out
- -5.6%
- Past forecasts in range
- 4 of 6
Each month I forecast Google visits to the AI video generator sites I track, then score myself when the real number lands. For November 2026 I expect about 20 million visits, about the same as in October 2026.
Below: how my last forecast did, the next six months and site by site.
Made 1 November 2026 from the October 2026 data. Data from DataForSEO, Google Trends via SerpApi, Tranco and Ahrefs · not a ranking
AI video generator forecast: the key numbers for November 2026
- Expected in November20Mvisits-1% vs October
- Likely range18M–22Mvisits in November
- Expected in May 202719Mvisits-6% six months out
- Forecasts in range4 of 6monthswhen the method was tested
Visits from Google search to the tracked sites, a month. Hover or tap the chart for each month.
- The AI video generator sites RankDude tracks got 20,429,634 visits from Google search in October 2026.
- The forecast for November 2026 is 20,219,312 visits, about the same as October 2026, likely between 18M and 22M.
- That is down on November 2025, when the same sites had 26,581,308 visits.
1How did the October 2026 forecast do?
In plain words: Last month’s forecast landed inside its range, 7% off. A hit.
In the October 2026 edition the forecast said October 2026 would bring about 22,068,083 search visits, somewhere between 20M and 24M. It brought 20,429,634. That landed inside the range, the month landing 7% below the forecast. That is a good month for a forecast.
| Made in | Months ahead | Forecast | Range | Actual | Miss | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 1 | 22,068,083 | 20M to 24M | 20,429,634 | -7.4% | in range |
Made in
- October 2026
- Months ahead
- 1
- Forecast
- 22,068,083
- Range
- 20M to 24M
- Actual
- 20,429,634
- Miss
- -7.4%
- Result
- in range
Source: DataForSEO.
Site by site
| Site | Forecast | Range | Actual | Miss | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 invideo | 3,090,554 | 2.5M to 3.6M | 2,707,399 | -12.4% | in range |
 PixVerse | 2,048,235 | 1.4M to 2.7M | 2,059,012 | +0.5% | in range |
 Higgsfield | 2,256,292 | 2.0M to 2.6M | 1,907,119 | -15.5% | missed |
 Kling AI | 2,181,861 | 1.6M to 2.8M | 2,349,500 | +7.7% | in range |
 Magic Hour | 1,674,020 | 1.5M to 1.9M | 2,002,141 | +19.6% | missed |
 Runway | 1,310,878 | 1.1M to 1.5M | 1,126,996 | -14.0% | missed |
 Pollo AI | 1,182,774 | 816K to 1.5M | 1,139,356 | -3.7% | in range |
 HeyGen | 1,343,349 | 1.0M to 1.7M | 1,167,717 | -13.1% | in range |
 Hailuo AI | 679,465 | 472K to 887K | 496,518 | -26.9% | in range |
 AI Studios | 664,146 | 520K to 808K | 504,390 | -24.1% | missed |
Site
- invideo
- Forecast
- 3,090,554
- Range
- 2.5M to 3.6M
- Actual
- 2,707,399
- Miss
- -12.4%
- Result
- in range
- PixVerse
- Forecast
- 2,048,235
- Range
- 1.4M to 2.7M
- Actual
- 2,059,012
- Miss
- +0.5%
- Result
- in range
- Higgsfield
- Forecast
- 2,256,292
- Range
- 2.0M to 2.6M
- Actual
- 1,907,119
- Miss
- -15.5%
- Result
- missed
- Kling AI
- Forecast
- 2,181,861
- Range
- 1.6M to 2.8M
- Actual
- 2,349,500
- Miss
- +7.7%
- Result
- in range
- Magic Hour
- Forecast
- 1,674,020
- Range
- 1.5M to 1.9M
- Actual
- 2,002,141
- Miss
- +19.6%
- Result
- missed
- Runway
- Forecast
- 1,310,878
- Range
- 1.1M to 1.5M
- Actual
- 1,126,996
- Miss
- -14.0%
- Result
- missed
- Pollo AI
- Forecast
- 1,182,774
- Range
- 816K to 1.5M
- Actual
- 1,139,356
- Miss
- -3.7%
- Result
- in range
- HeyGen
- Forecast
- 1,343,349
- Range
- 1.0M to 1.7M
- Actual
- 1,167,717
- Miss
- -13.1%
- Result
- in range
- Hailuo AI
- Forecast
- 679,465
- Range
- 472K to 887K
- Actual
- 496,518
- Miss
- -26.9%
- Result
- in range
- AI Studios
- Forecast
- 664,146
- Range
- 520K to 808K
- Actual
- 504,390
- Miss
- -24.1%
- Result
- missed
6 of 10 site forecasts landed in range.
The backtest, month by month
| Month | Would have forecast | Range | Actual | Miss | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | 24,264,026 | 22M to 26M | 25,760,433 | +6.2% | in range |
| June 2026 | 28,508,732 | 26M to 31M | 25,422,747 | -10.8% | missed |
| July 2026 | 25,420,870 | 23M to 27M | 23,045,311 | -9.3% | missed |
| August 2026 | 23,233,543 | 21M to 25M | 23,677,218 | +1.9% | in range |
| September 2026 | 23,637,068 | 21M to 26M | 22,209,423 | -6.0% | in range |
| October 2026 | 22,067,334 | 20M to 24M | 20,429,634 | -7.4% | in range |
Month
- May 2026
- Would have forecast
- 24,264,026
- Range
- 22M to 26M
- Actual
- 25,760,433
- Miss
- +6.2%
- Result
- in range
- June 2026
- Would have forecast
- 28,508,732
- Range
- 26M to 31M
- Actual
- 25,422,747
- Miss
- -10.8%
- Result
- missed
- July 2026
- Would have forecast
- 25,420,870
- Range
- 23M to 27M
- Actual
- 23,045,311
- Miss
- -9.3%
- Result
- missed
- August 2026
- Would have forecast
- 23,233,543
- Range
- 21M to 25M
- Actual
- 23,677,218
- Miss
- +1.9%
- Result
- in range
- September 2026
- Would have forecast
- 23,637,068
- Range
- 21M to 26M
- Actual
- 22,209,423
- Miss
- -6.0%
- Result
- in range
- October 2026
- Would have forecast
- 22,067,334
- Range
- 20M to 24M
- Actual
- 20,429,634
- Miss
- -7.4%
- Result
- in range
Each row uses only data from before that month.
The running scorecard
| Months ahead | Forecasts scored | In range | Average miss |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 of 1 | 7.4% |
Months ahead
- 1
- Forecasts scored
- 1
- In range
- 1 of 1
- Average miss
- 7.4%
Across 1 earlier edition, every forecast for a month that has since closed.
Miles explains
4 of 6 in range is honest, not perfect. The biggest miss was June 2026 (-11%), the kind of month when one big site jumps. That’s why the range is wide.
2What is the market doing now?
Visits are down on a year ago (-22%), and the last three months were lower than the three before. Name searches are up (+4% since October 2025). Recent months are getting weaker; the forecast expects November 2026 to be about the same as October 2026.
- Visits, October 2026
- 20,429,634 (-8.0% on the month before, -22.0% on a year ago)
- Last 3 months vs the 3 before
- -10.7%
- 24-month peak
- 29,116,376 in February 2026
- Name searches, US
- +3.6% since October 2025
- Google Trends, "ai video generator"
- 70/100 (-13.6% on a year ago)
- 12-month trend
- -2.5% a month; the forecast carries part of the slope, fading
WorldChange in visits, month on month, worldwide
Green grew, red shrank. Source: DataForSEO.
Miles explains
Big green or red bars are usually one site winning or losing a Google ranking, not the whole market moving. What I watch is the last three months against the three before: -11%.
3Is November usually a big month or a quiet one?
November is usually a quieter month than average (4% below) for searches for “ai video generator”. But the sites’ visits follow rankings more than the calendar, so the pattern is shown and not allowed to move the numbers.
- November index
- 96 (100 = an average month)
- On the calendar
- Black Friday and Cyber Monday and Thanksgiving (US)
- Biggest months
- August
- Quietest months
- May
- Used in this forecast?
- No: average miss 6.9% as chosen, 4.3% without the pattern, 8.6% always with it
WorldHow busy each month usually is, worldwide (100 = average)
Source: Google Trends, five years.
Miles explains
I tested the calendar against the last months and it made the forecast worse (8.6% average miss with it, 4.3% without), so I show it but leave it out.
4What to expect in November 2026
About 20M visits in November 2026, about the same as October 2026. The likely range is 18M to 22M.
| Measure | Last known | Forecast | Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Search visits, worldwide | 20,429,634 | 20,219,312 | 18M to 22M |
| Search visits, US | 1,482,410 | 1,490,698 | 1.4M to 1.6M |
| Brand-name searches a month, US (last known: September 2026) | 1,313,930 | 1,273,670 | 1.1M to 1.4M |
| Searches for “ai video generator”, US (last known: September 2026) | 201,000 | 203,064 | 153K to 253K |
Measure
- Search visits, worldwide
- Last known
- 20,429,634
- Forecast
- 20,219,312
- Range
- 18M to 22M
- Search visits, US
- Last known
- 1,482,410
- Forecast
- 1,490,698
- Range
- 1.4M to 1.6M
- Brand-name searches a month, US (last known: September 2026)
- Last known
- 1,313,930
- Forecast
- 1,273,670
- Range
- 1.1M to 1.4M
- Searches for “ai video generator”, US (last known: September 2026)
- Last known
- 201,000
- Forecast
- 203,064
- Range
- 153K to 253K
Source: DataForSEO and Google Ads.
5What to expect over the next six months
By May 2027 the forecast expects about 19,293,394 visits a month, -6% on the 20,429,634 of October 2026, so the next six months look like a slide.
| Month | Worldwide visits | Range | US visits | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 2026 | 19,904,499 | 18M to 22M | 1,487,867 | 1.4M to 1.6M |
| January 2027 | 19,684,130 | 17M to 22M | 1,485,885 | 1.3M to 1.6M |
| February 2027 | 19,529,872 | 17M to 22M | 1,484,498 | 1.3M to 1.6M |
| March 2027 | 19,421,891 | 17M to 22M | 1,483,526 | 1.3M to 1.6M |
| April 2027 | 19,346,305 | 17M to 22M | 1,482,847 | 1.3M to 1.7M |
| May 2027 | 19,293,394 | 16M to 22M | 1,482,371 | 1.3M to 1.7M |
Month
- December 2026
- Worldwide visits
- 19,904,499
- Range
- 18M to 22M
- US visits
- 1,487,867
- Range
- 1.4M to 1.6M
- January 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 19,684,130
- Range
- 17M to 22M
- US visits
- 1,485,885
- Range
- 1.3M to 1.6M
- February 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 19,529,872
- Range
- 17M to 22M
- US visits
- 1,484,498
- Range
- 1.3M to 1.6M
- March 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 19,421,891
- Range
- 17M to 22M
- US visits
- 1,483,526
- Range
- 1.3M to 1.6M
- April 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 19,346,305
- Range
- 17M to 22M
- US visits
- 1,482,847
- Range
- 1.3M to 1.7M
- May 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 19,293,394
- Range
- 16M to 22M
- US visits
- 1,482,371
- Range
- 1.3M to 1.7M
6What the forecast expects for the ten most-visited sites
The forecast expects AI Studios (+5%) to rise, and PixVerse (-4%) and Magic Hour (-9%) to fall; the rest are within 3% of October 2026. Single sites are harder to forecast than the whole market, so their ranges are wider.
| Site | October 2026 | November 2026 forecast | Range | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| invideo | 2,707,399 | 2,743,644 | 2.4M to 3.1M | +1.3% |
| Kling AI | 2,349,500 | 2,290,788 | 1.7M to 2.9M | -2.5% |
| PixVerse | 2,059,012 | 1,986,967 | 1.4M to 2.6M | -3.5% |
| Magic Hour | 2,002,141 | 1,816,337 | 1.5M to 2.1M | -9.3% |
| Higgsfield | 1,907,119 | 1,862,574 | 1.6M to 2.1M | -2.3% |
| HeyGen | 1,167,717 | 1,142,771 | 958K to 1.3M | -2.1% |
| Pollo AI | 1,139,356 | 1,145,869 | 791K to 1.5M | +0.6% |
| Runway | 1,126,996 | 1,114,931 | 900K to 1.3M | -1.1% |
 Luma Dream Machine | 578,843 | 577,415 | 505K to 650K | -0.2% |
| AI Studios | 504,390 | 530,226 | 402K to 658K | +5.1% |
Site
- invideo
- October 2026
- 2,707,399
- November 2026 forecast
- 2,743,644
- Range
- 2.4M to 3.1M
- Change
- +1.3%
- Kling AI
- October 2026
- 2,349,500
- November 2026 forecast
- 2,290,788
- Range
- 1.7M to 2.9M
- Change
- -2.5%
- PixVerse
- October 2026
- 2,059,012
- November 2026 forecast
- 1,986,967
- Range
- 1.4M to 2.6M
- Change
- -3.5%
- Magic Hour
- October 2026
- 2,002,141
- November 2026 forecast
- 1,816,337
- Range
- 1.5M to 2.1M
- Change
- -9.3%
- Higgsfield
- October 2026
- 1,907,119
- November 2026 forecast
- 1,862,574
- Range
- 1.6M to 2.1M
- Change
- -2.3%
- HeyGen
- October 2026
- 1,167,717
- November 2026 forecast
- 1,142,771
- Range
- 958K to 1.3M
- Change
- -2.1%
- Pollo AI
- October 2026
- 1,139,356
- November 2026 forecast
- 1,145,869
- Range
- 791K to 1.5M
- Change
- +0.6%
- Runway
- October 2026
- 1,126,996
- November 2026 forecast
- 1,114,931
- Range
- 900K to 1.3M
- Change
- -1.1%
- Luma Dream Machine
- October 2026
- 578,843
- November 2026 forecast
- 577,415
- Range
- 505K to 650K
- Change
- -0.2%
- AI Studios
- October 2026
- 504,390
- November 2026 forecast
- 530,226
- Range
- 402K to 658K
- Change
- +5.1%
Source: DataForSEO.
Together the ten come to 15,211,522, inside the market forecast of 20,219,312 for every tracked site.
Miles explains
AI Studios has the biggest expected rise (+5%). Single sites are much harder to call than the whole market, so read these as direction, not promises.
7What could change the forecast
What could knock November 2026 off course:
- A big site winning or losing a page-one position for “ai video generator”.
- A Google update.
- A site going offline.
- A news story that spikes interest for a week and then fades.
None of these are in the numbers until they happen, which is why the range exists.