AI video detector market forecast, November 2026
Miles FosterOwner and tester, RankDude
The forecast■ Flatthrough May 2027
- November vs October
- -0.3%
- May 2027, six months out
- -0.9%
- Past forecasts in range
- 6 of 6
Each month I forecast Google visits to the AI video detector sites I track, then score myself when the real number lands. For November 2026 I expect about 279,526 visits, about the same as in October 2026.
Below: how my last forecast did, the next six months and site by site.
Made 2 November 2026 from the October 2026 data. Data from DataForSEO, Google Trends via DataForSEO, Tranco and Ahrefs · not a ranking
AI video detector forecast: the key numbers for November 2026
- Expected in November280Kvisits-0.3% vs October
- Likely range257K–302Kvisits in November
- Expected in May 2027278Kvisits-1% six months out
- Forecasts in range6 of 6monthswhen the method was tested
Visits from Google search to the tracked sites, a month. Hover or tap the chart for each month.
- The AI video detector sites RankDude tracks got 280,408 visits from Google search in October 2026.
- The forecast for November 2026 is 279,526 visits, about the same as October 2026, likely between 257K and 302K.
- That is about level with November 2025, when the same sites had 271,430 visits.
1How accurate is this forecast?
In plain words: Tested on the last 6 months, it missed by 4.7% on average.
- Tested on
- the last 6 months, as if their numbers were unknown
- Average miss
- 4.7%
- Inside the range
- 6 of 6 months
- Direction called right
- 2 of 6 months
- Next month
- this section scores the real forecast
The backtest, month by month
| Month | Would have forecast | Range | Actual | Miss | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | 344,126 | 258K to 430K | 320,028 | -7.0% | in range |
| June 2026 | 321,013 | 241K to 401K | 300,158 | -6.5% | in range |
| July 2026 | 303,286 | 227K to 379K | 283,446 | -6.5% | in range |
| August 2026 | 286,422 | 249K to 323K | 274,106 | -4.3% | in range |
| September 2026 | 275,953 | 254K to 298K | 283,714 | +2.8% | in range |
| October 2026 | 282,550 | 260K to 305K | 280,408 | -0.8% | in range |
Month
- May 2026
- Would have forecast
- 344,126
- Range
- 258K to 430K
- Actual
- 320,028
- Miss
- -7.0%
- Result
- in range
- June 2026
- Would have forecast
- 321,013
- Range
- 241K to 401K
- Actual
- 300,158
- Miss
- -6.5%
- Result
- in range
- July 2026
- Would have forecast
- 303,286
- Range
- 227K to 379K
- Actual
- 283,446
- Miss
- -6.5%
- Result
- in range
- August 2026
- Would have forecast
- 286,422
- Range
- 249K to 323K
- Actual
- 274,106
- Miss
- -4.3%
- Result
- in range
- September 2026
- Would have forecast
- 275,953
- Range
- 254K to 298K
- Actual
- 283,714
- Miss
- +2.8%
- Result
- in range
- October 2026
- Would have forecast
- 282,550
- Range
- 260K to 305K
- Actual
- 280,408
- Miss
- -0.8%
- Result
- in range
Each row uses only data from before that month.
Miles explains
6 of 6 in range is honest, not perfect. The biggest miss was May 2026 (-7%), the kind of month when one big site jumps. That’s why the range is wide.
2What is the market doing now?
Visits are down on a year ago (-14%), and the last three months were lower than the three before. Name searches are down (-12% since October 2025). Recent months are getting weaker; the forecast expects November 2026 to be about the same as October 2026.
- Visits, October 2026
- 280,408 (-1.2% on the month before, -14.0% on a year ago)
- Last 3 months vs the 3 before
- -7.2%
- 24-month peak
- 434,179 in February 2026
- Name searches, US
- -12.0% since October 2025
- Google Trends, "ai video detector"
- 36/100 (-52.0% on a year ago)
- 12-month trend
- -2.0% a month; the forecast carries part of the slope, fading
WorldChange in visits, month on month, worldwide
Green grew, red shrank. Source: DataForSEO.
Miles explains
Big green or red bars are usually one site winning or losing a Google ranking, not the whole market moving. What I watch is the last three months against the three before: -7%.
3Is November usually a big month or a quiet one?
November is usually a bigger month than average (13% above) for searches for “ai video detector”. But the sites’ visits follow rankings more than the calendar, so the pattern is shown and not allowed to move the numbers.
- November index
- 113 (100 = an average month)
- On the calendar
- Black Friday and Cyber Monday and Thanksgiving (US)
- Biggest months
- March, April, October and November
- Quietest months
- June, July and August
- Used in this forecast?
- No: average miss 4.7% as chosen, 4.7% without the pattern, 19.8% always with it
WorldHow busy each month usually is, worldwide (100 = average)
Source: Google Trends, five years.
Miles explains
I tested the calendar against the last months and it made the forecast worse (19.8% average miss with it, 4.7% without), so I show it but leave it out.
4What to expect in November 2026
About 280K visits in November 2026, about the same as October 2026. The likely range is 257K to 302K.
| Measure | Last known | Forecast | Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Search visits, worldwide | 280,408 | 279,526 | 257K to 302K |
| Search visits, US | 65,351 | 64,915 | 53.9K to 75.9K |
| Brand-name searches a month, US (last known: September 2026) | 14,430 | 14,392 | 11.9K to 16.9K |
| Searches for “ai video detector”, US (last known: September 2026) | 4,400 | 4,397 | 3.3K to 5.5K |
Measure
- Search visits, worldwide
- Last known
- 280,408
- Forecast
- 279,526
- Range
- 257K to 302K
- Search visits, US
- Last known
- 65,351
- Forecast
- 64,915
- Range
- 53.9K to 75.9K
- Brand-name searches a month, US (last known: September 2026)
- Last known
- 14,430
- Forecast
- 14,392
- Range
- 11.9K to 16.9K
- Searches for “ai video detector”, US (last known: September 2026)
- Last known
- 4,400
- Forecast
- 4,397
- Range
- 3.3K to 5.5K
Source: DataForSEO and Google Ads.
5What to expect over the next six months
By May 2027 the forecast expects about 277,748 visits a month, -1% on the 280,408 of October 2026, so the next six months look flat.
| Month | Worldwide visits | Range | US visits | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 2026 | 278,922 | 254K to 303K | 64,889 | 52.8K to 77.0K |
| January 2027 | 278,499 | 252K to 305K | 64,870 | 51.7K to 78.0K |
| February 2027 | 278,202 | 249K to 307K | 64,857 | 50.6K to 79.1K |
| March 2027 | 277,995 | 247K to 309K | 64,848 | 49.5K to 80.2K |
| April 2027 | 277,850 | 245K to 311K | 64,841 | 48.4K to 81.3K |
| May 2027 | 277,748 | 242K to 313K | 64,837 | 47.3K to 82.4K |
Month
- December 2026
- Worldwide visits
- 278,922
- Range
- 254K to 303K
- US visits
- 64,889
- Range
- 52.8K to 77.0K
- January 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 278,499
- Range
- 252K to 305K
- US visits
- 64,870
- Range
- 51.7K to 78.0K
- February 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 278,202
- Range
- 249K to 307K
- US visits
- 64,857
- Range
- 50.6K to 79.1K
- March 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 277,995
- Range
- 247K to 309K
- US visits
- 64,848
- Range
- 49.5K to 80.2K
- April 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 277,850
- Range
- 245K to 311K
- US visits
- 64,841
- Range
- 48.4K to 81.3K
- May 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 277,748
- Range
- 242K to 313K
- US visits
- 64,837
- Range
- 47.3K to 82.4K
6What the forecast expects for the ten most-visited sites
The forecast expects EyeSift (+4%), DetectVideo AI (+10%), Deepfake Detection (+8%) and Hive Detect (+6%) to rise, and Sightengine (-5%), Deepware Scanner (-7%) and DuckDuckGoose (-13%) to fall; the rest are within 3% of October 2026. Single sites are harder to forecast than the whole market, so their ranges are wider.
| Site | October 2026 | November 2026 forecast | Range | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cudekai | 88,002 | 90,599 | 65.7K to 116K | +3.0% |
 Sightengine | 69,185 | 65,662 | 57.4K to 73.9K | -5.1% |
 AI or Not | 44,337 | 45,425 | 36.3K to 54.5K | +2.5% |
 Resemble AI | 43,230 | 43,036 | 34.5K to 51.6K | -0.4% |
 EyeSift | 10,161 | 10,533 | 4.2K to 16.9K | +3.7% |
 Deepware Scanner | 5,184 | 4,808 | 3.6K to 6.0K | -7.3% |
 DetectVideo AI | 4,299 | 4,724 | 1.9K to 7.6K | +9.9% |
 Deepfake Detection | 2,596 | 2,802 | 1.1K to 4.5K | +7.9% |
 Hive Detect | 2,351 | 2,488 | 995 to 4.0K | +5.8% |
 DuckDuckGoose | 2,311 | 2,022 | 1.1K to 2.9K | -12.5% |
Site
- October 2026
- 88,002
- November 2026 forecast
- 90,599
- Range
- 65.7K to 116K
- Change
- +3.0%
- October 2026
- 69,185
- November 2026 forecast
- 65,662
- Range
- 57.4K to 73.9K
- Change
- -5.1%
- October 2026
- 44,337
- November 2026 forecast
- 45,425
- Range
- 36.3K to 54.5K
- Change
- +2.5%
- October 2026
- 43,230
- November 2026 forecast
- 43,036
- Range
- 34.5K to 51.6K
- Change
- -0.4%
- October 2026
- 10,161
- November 2026 forecast
- 10,533
- Range
- 4.2K to 16.9K
- Change
- +3.7%
- October 2026
- 5,184
- November 2026 forecast
- 4,808
- Range
- 3.6K to 6.0K
- Change
- -7.3%
- October 2026
- 4,299
- November 2026 forecast
- 4,724
- Range
- 1.9K to 7.6K
- Change
- +9.9%
- October 2026
- 2,596
- November 2026 forecast
- 2,802
- Range
- 1.1K to 4.5K
- Change
- +7.9%
- October 2026
- 2,351
- November 2026 forecast
- 2,488
- Range
- 995 to 4.0K
- Change
- +5.8%
- October 2026
- 2,311
- November 2026 forecast
- 2,022
- Range
- 1.1K to 2.9K
- Change
- -12.5%
Source: DataForSEO.
Together the ten come to 272,099, inside the market forecast of 279,526 for every tracked site.
Miles explains
DetectVideo AI has the biggest expected rise (+10%). Single sites are much harder to call than the whole market, so read these as direction, not promises.
7What could change the forecast
What could knock November 2026 off course:
- A big site winning or losing a page-one position for “ai video detector”.
- A Google update.
- A site going offline.
- A news story that spikes interest for a week and then fades.
None of these are in the numbers until they happen, which is why the range exists.