AI roleplay app market forecast, November 2026
Miles FosterOwner and tester, RankDude
The forecast▼ Fallingthrough May 2027
- November vs October
- -12%
- May 2027, six months out
- -12%
- Past forecasts in range
- 5 of 6
Each month I forecast Google visits to the AI roleplay app sites I track, then score myself when the real number lands. For November 2026 I expect about 3.8 million visits, 12% fewer than in October 2026.
Below: how my last forecast did, the next six months and site by site.
Made 2 November 2026 from the October 2026 data. Data from DataForSEO, Google Trends via DataForSEO, Tranco and Ahrefs · not a ranking
AI roleplay app forecast: the key numbers for November 2026
- Expected in November3.8Mvisits-12% vs October
- Likely range3.3M–4.2Mvisits in November
- Expected in May 20273.8Mvisits-12% six months out
- Forecasts in range5 of 6monthswhen the method was tested
Visits from Google search to the tracked sites, a month. Hover or tap the chart for each month.
- The AI roleplay app sites RankDude tracks got 4,303,304 visits from Google search in October 2026.
- The forecast for November 2026 is 3,779,343 visits, down by about 12% on October 2026, likely between 3.3M and 4.2M.
- That is down on November 2025, when the same sites had 4,223,512 visits.
1How accurate is this forecast?
In plain words: Tested on the last 6 months, it missed by 14.4% on average.
- Tested on
- the last 6 months, as if their numbers were unknown
- Average miss
- 14.4%
- Inside the range
- 5 of 6 months
- Direction called right
- 1 of 6 months
- Next month
- this section scores the real forecast
The backtest, month by month
| Month | Would have forecast | Range | Actual | Miss | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | 3,505,030 | 2.7M to 4.3M | 3,639,692 | +3.8% | in range |
| June 2026 | 3,666,629 | 2.7M to 4.6M | 3,219,333 | -12.2% | in range |
| July 2026 | 3,286,427 | 2.5M to 4.1M | 3,102,385 | -5.6% | in range |
| August 2026 | 3,012,602 | 2.3M to 3.8M | 4,540,976 | +50.7% | missed |
| September 2026 | 4,329,328 | 2.7M to 6.0M | 4,650,957 | +7.4% | in range |
| October 2026 | 4,602,713 | 2.8M to 6.4M | 4,303,304 | -6.5% | in range |
Month
- May 2026
- Would have forecast
- 3,505,030
- Range
- 2.7M to 4.3M
- Actual
- 3,639,692
- Miss
- +3.8%
- Result
- in range
- June 2026
- Would have forecast
- 3,666,629
- Range
- 2.7M to 4.6M
- Actual
- 3,219,333
- Miss
- -12.2%
- Result
- in range
- July 2026
- Would have forecast
- 3,286,427
- Range
- 2.5M to 4.1M
- Actual
- 3,102,385
- Miss
- -5.6%
- Result
- in range
- August 2026
- Would have forecast
- 3,012,602
- Range
- 2.3M to 3.8M
- Actual
- 4,540,976
- Miss
- +50.7%
- Result
- missed
- September 2026
- Would have forecast
- 4,329,328
- Range
- 2.7M to 6.0M
- Actual
- 4,650,957
- Miss
- +7.4%
- Result
- in range
- October 2026
- Would have forecast
- 4,602,713
- Range
- 2.8M to 6.4M
- Actual
- 4,303,304
- Miss
- -6.5%
- Result
- in range
Each row uses only data from before that month.
Miles explains
5 of 6 in range is honest, not perfect. The biggest miss was August 2026 (+51%), the kind of month when one big site jumps. That’s why the range is wide.
2What is the market doing now?
Visits are down on a year ago (-6%), and the last three months were higher than the three before. Name searches are up (+29% since October 2025). Recent months are getting stronger, yet the forecast expects November 2026 to be down on October 2026, because November usually runs 12% below October on the calendar. The backtest below shows how often this method calls the direction right.
- Visits, October 2026
- 4,303,304 (-7.5% on the month before, -6.3% on a year ago)
- Last 3 months vs the 3 before
- +35.5%
- 24-month peak
- 5,868,103 in February 2026
- Name searches, US
- +28.5% since October 2025
- Google Trends, "ai roleplay"
- 49/100 (+32.4% on a year ago)
- 12-month trend
- -2.3% a month; the forecast carries the level of recent months, not the slope
WorldChange in visits, month on month, worldwide
Green grew, red shrank. Source: DataForSEO.
Miles explains
Big green or red bars are usually one site winning or losing a Google ranking, not the whole market moving. What I watch is the last three months against the three before: +36%.
3Is November usually a big month or a quiet one?
November is usually a quieter month than average (10% below) for searches for “ai roleplay”. That pattern helps the forecast this month, so it is used.
- November index
- 90 (100 = an average month)
- On the calendar
- Black Friday and Cyber Monday and Thanksgiving (US)
- Biggest months
- April and August
- Quietest months
- January, November and December
- Used in this forecast?
- Yes: average miss 14.4% as chosen, 14.4% without the pattern, 15.3% always with it
WorldHow busy each month usually is, worldwide (100 = average)
Source: Google Trends, five years.
Miles explains
I tested the calendar and it helped (15.3% average miss with it, 14.4% without), so it’s in this month’s numbers.
4What to expect in November 2026
About 3.8M visits in November 2026, down 12% on October 2026. The likely range is 3.3M to 4.2M.
| Measure | Last known | Forecast | Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Search visits, worldwide | 4,303,304 | 3,779,343 | 3.3M to 4.2M |
| Search visits, US | 1,088,227 | 956,306 | 737K to 1.2M |
| Brand-name searches a month, US (last known: September 2026) | 1,647,060 | 1,646,591 | 1.5M to 1.8M |
| Searches for “ai roleplay”, US (last known: September 2026) | 27,100 | 27,591 | 21.6K to 33.5K |
Measure
- Search visits, worldwide
- Last known
- 4,303,304
- Forecast
- 3,779,343
- Range
- 3.3M to 4.2M
- Search visits, US
- Last known
- 1,088,227
- Forecast
- 956,306
- Range
- 737K to 1.2M
- Brand-name searches a month, US (last known: September 2026)
- Last known
- 1,647,060
- Forecast
- 1,646,591
- Range
- 1.5M to 1.8M
- Searches for “ai roleplay”, US (last known: September 2026)
- Last known
- 27,100
- Forecast
- 27,591
- Range
- 21.6K to 33.5K
Source: DataForSEO and Google Ads.
5What to expect over the next six months
By May 2027 the forecast expects about 3,800,363 visits a month, -12% on the 4,303,304 of October 2026, so the next six months look uneven: as high as 5.8M in April 2027 (+35%), then 12% below October 2026 by May 2027.
| Month | Worldwide visits | Range | US visits | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 2026 | 3,506,087 | 3.0M to 4.0M | 887,162 | 664K to 1.1M |
| January 2027 | 3,283,278 | 2.8M to 3.8M | 830,784 | 602K to 1.1M |
| February 2027 | 3,880,238 | 3.3M to 4.5M | 981,835 | 690K to 1.3M |
| March 2027 | 4,023,172 | 3.3M to 4.7M | 1,018,003 | 692K to 1.3M |
| April 2027 | 5,822,459 | 4.8M to 6.9M | 1,473,285 | 967K to 2.0M |
| May 2027 | 3,800,363 | 3.1M to 4.5M | 961,624 | 609K to 1.3M |
Month
- December 2026
- Worldwide visits
- 3,506,087
- Range
- 3.0M to 4.0M
- US visits
- 887,162
- Range
- 664K to 1.1M
- January 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 3,283,278
- Range
- 2.8M to 3.8M
- US visits
- 830,784
- Range
- 602K to 1.1M
- February 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 3,880,238
- Range
- 3.3M to 4.5M
- US visits
- 981,835
- Range
- 690K to 1.3M
- March 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 4,023,172
- Range
- 3.3M to 4.7M
- US visits
- 1,018,003
- Range
- 692K to 1.3M
- April 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 5,822,459
- Range
- 4.8M to 6.9M
- US visits
- 1,473,285
- Range
- 967K to 2.0M
- May 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 3,800,363
- Range
- 3.1M to 4.5M
- US visits
- 961,624
- Range
- 609K to 1.3M
6What the forecast expects for the ten most-visited sites
The forecast expects Nastia (+5%), Kindroid (+6%) and Cycle AI (+4%) to rise, and CrushOn AI (-11%), Bubio.ai (-6%) and Atale AI (-6%) to fall; the rest are within 3% of October 2026. Single sites are harder to forecast than the whole market, so their ranges are wider.
| Site | October 2026 | November 2026 forecast | Range | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 SpicyChat | 2,265,530 | 2,285,050 | 1.8M to 2.8M | +0.9% |
 CrushOn AI | 1,492,455 | 1,325,166 | 917K to 1.7M | -11.2% |
 Nastia | 369,772 | 388,114 | 155K to 621K | +5.0% |
 Kindroid | 68,809 | 72,596 | 54.7K to 90.5K | +5.5% |
 Bubio.ai | 49,212 | 46,092 | 18.4K to 73.7K | -6.3% |
 Privee AI | 19,011 | 18,918 | 15.0K to 22.8K | -0.5% |
 Pinku | 17,406 | 16,956 | 13.3K to 20.6K | -2.6% |
 Harpy | 15,821 | 15,352 | 6.1K to 24.6K | -3.0% |
 Cycle AI | 2,962 | 3,078 | 1.2K to 4.9K | +3.9% |
 Atale AI | 2,326 | 2,195 | 878 to 3.5K | -5.6% |
Site
- October 2026
- 2,265,530
- November 2026 forecast
- 2,285,050
- Range
- 1.8M to 2.8M
- Change
- +0.9%
- October 2026
- 1,492,455
- November 2026 forecast
- 1,325,166
- Range
- 917K to 1.7M
- Change
- -11.2%
- October 2026
- 369,772
- November 2026 forecast
- 388,114
- Range
- 155K to 621K
- Change
- +5.0%
- October 2026
- 68,809
- November 2026 forecast
- 72,596
- Range
- 54.7K to 90.5K
- Change
- +5.5%
- October 2026
- 49,212
- November 2026 forecast
- 46,092
- Range
- 18.4K to 73.7K
- Change
- -6.3%
- October 2026
- 19,011
- November 2026 forecast
- 18,918
- Range
- 15.0K to 22.8K
- Change
- -0.5%
- October 2026
- 17,406
- November 2026 forecast
- 16,956
- Range
- 13.3K to 20.6K
- Change
- -2.6%
- October 2026
- 15,821
- November 2026 forecast
- 15,352
- Range
- 6.1K to 24.6K
- Change
- -3.0%
- October 2026
- 2,962
- November 2026 forecast
- 3,078
- Range
- 1.2K to 4.9K
- Change
- +3.9%
- October 2026
- 2,326
- November 2026 forecast
- 2,195
- Range
- 878 to 3.5K
- Change
- -5.6%
Source: DataForSEO.
The ten site forecasts add up to 4,173,517, more than the market forecast of 3,779,343 for every tracked site. Each site is forecast from its own months, with the weighting and the seasonal pattern that suited that site best, and the market from the total, so the two need not add up. Read the site figures one at a time, not as a sum.
Miles explains
Kindroid has the biggest expected rise (+6%). Single sites are much harder to call than the whole market, so read these as direction, not promises.
7What could change the forecast
What could knock November 2026 off course:
- A big site winning or losing a page-one position for “ai roleplay”.
- A Google update.
- A site going offline.
- A news story that spikes interest for a week and then fades.
None of these are in the numbers until they happen, which is why the range exists.