AI fitness app market forecast, November 2026
Miles FosterOwner and tester, RankDude
The forecast▼ Fallingthrough May 2027
- November vs October
- -2.8%
- May 2027, six months out
- -7.4%
- Past forecasts in range
- 4 of 6
Each month I forecast Google visits to the AI fitness app sites I track, then score myself when the real number lands. For November 2026 I expect about 776,979 visits, about the same as in October 2026.
Below: how my last forecast did, the next six months and site by site.
Made 2 November 2026 from the October 2026 data. Data from DataForSEO, Google Trends via DataForSEO, Tranco and Ahrefs · not a ranking
AI fitness app forecast: the key numbers for November 2026
- Expected in November777Kvisits-3% vs October
- Likely range657K–897Kvisits in November
- Expected in May 2027741Kvisits-7% six months out
- Forecasts in range4 of 6monthswhen the method was tested
Visits from Google search to the tracked sites, a month. Hover or tap the chart for each month.
- The AI fitness app sites RankDude tracks got 799,565 visits from Google search in October 2026.
- The forecast for November 2026 is 776,979 visits, about the same as October 2026, likely between 657K and 897K.
- That is down on November 2025, when the same sites had 965,094 visits.
1How accurate is this forecast?
In plain words: Tested on the last 6 months, it missed by 13.2% on average.
- Tested on
- the last 6 months, as if their numbers were unknown
- Average miss
- 13.2%
- Inside the range
- 4 of 6 months
- Direction called right
- 2 of 6 months
- Next month
- this section scores the real forecast
The backtest, month by month
| Month | Would have forecast | Range | Actual | Miss | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | 1,330,960 | 1.2M to 1.5M | 1,537,838 | +15.5% | missed |
| June 2026 | 1,557,344 | 1.4M to 1.7M | 1,381,345 | -11.3% | in range |
| July 2026 | 1,434,122 | 1.3M to 1.6M | 948,641 | -33.9% | missed |
| August 2026 | 948,641 | 802K to 1.1M | 849,137 | -10.5% | in range |
| September 2026 | 874,210 | 620K to 1.1M | 815,889 | -6.7% | in range |
| October 2026 | 812,117 | 576K to 1.0M | 799,565 | -1.5% | in range |
Month
- May 2026
- Would have forecast
- 1,330,960
- Range
- 1.2M to 1.5M
- Actual
- 1,537,838
- Miss
- +15.5%
- Result
- missed
- June 2026
- Would have forecast
- 1,557,344
- Range
- 1.4M to 1.7M
- Actual
- 1,381,345
- Miss
- -11.3%
- Result
- in range
- July 2026
- Would have forecast
- 1,434,122
- Range
- 1.3M to 1.6M
- Actual
- 948,641
- Miss
- -33.9%
- Result
- missed
- August 2026
- Would have forecast
- 948,641
- Range
- 802K to 1.1M
- Actual
- 849,137
- Miss
- -10.5%
- Result
- in range
- September 2026
- Would have forecast
- 874,210
- Range
- 620K to 1.1M
- Actual
- 815,889
- Miss
- -6.7%
- Result
- in range
- October 2026
- Would have forecast
- 812,117
- Range
- 576K to 1.0M
- Actual
- 799,565
- Miss
- -1.5%
- Result
- in range
Each row uses only data from before that month.
Miles explains
4 of 6 in range is honest, not perfect. The biggest miss was July 2026 (-34%), the kind of month when one big site jumps. That’s why the range is wide.
2What is the market doing now?
Visits are up on a year ago (+9%), and the last three months were lower than the three before. Name searches are down (-31% since October 2025). Recent months are getting weaker; the forecast expects November 2026 to be about the same as October 2026.
- Visits, October 2026
- 799,565 (-2.0% on the month before, +9.0% on a year ago)
- Last 3 months vs the 3 before
- -36.3%
- 24-month peak
- 1,537,838 in May 2026
- Name searches, US
- -30.5% since October 2025
- Google Trends, "ai fitness app"
- 8/100 (-83.7% on a year ago)
- 12-month trend
- -2.3% a month; the forecast carries part of the slope, fading
WorldChange in visits, month on month, worldwide
Green grew, red shrank. Source: DataForSEO.
Miles explains
Big green or red bars are usually one site winning or losing a Google ranking, not the whole market moving. What I watch is the last three months against the three before: -36%.
3Is November usually a big month or a quiet one?
November is usually a quieter month than average (28% below) for searches for “ai fitness app”. But the sites’ visits follow rankings more than the calendar, so the pattern is shown and not allowed to move the numbers.
- November index
- 72 (100 = an average month)
- On the calendar
- Black Friday and Cyber Monday and Thanksgiving (US)
- Biggest months
- March, April and September
- Quietest months
- February, November and December
- Used in this forecast?
- No: average miss 13.2% as chosen, 13.2% without the pattern, 25.1% always with it
WorldHow busy each month usually is, worldwide (100 = average)
Source: Google Trends, five years.
Miles explains
I tested the calendar against the last months and it made the forecast worse (25.1% average miss with it, 13.2% without), so I show it but leave it out.
4What to expect in November 2026
About 777K visits in November 2026, about the same as October 2026. The likely range is 657K to 897K.
| Measure | Last known | Forecast | Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Search visits, worldwide | 799,565 | 776,979 | 657K to 897K |
| Search visits, US | 164,444 | 158,323 | 126K to 191K |
| Brand-name searches a month, US (last known: September 2026) | 24,740 | 24,574 | 22.0K to 27.2K |
| Searches for “ai fitness app”, US (last known: September 2026) | 480 | 492 | 376 to 608 |
Measure
- Search visits, worldwide
- Last known
- 799,565
- Forecast
- 776,979
- Range
- 657K to 897K
- Search visits, US
- Last known
- 164,444
- Forecast
- 158,323
- Range
- 126K to 191K
- Brand-name searches a month, US (last known: September 2026)
- Last known
- 24,740
- Forecast
- 24,574
- Range
- 22.0K to 27.2K
- Searches for “ai fitness app”, US (last known: September 2026)
- Last known
- 480
- Forecast
- 492
- Range
- 376 to 608
Source: DataForSEO and Google Ads.
5What to expect over the next six months
By May 2027 the forecast expects about 740,745 visits a month, -7% on the 799,565 of October 2026, so the next six months look like a slide.
| Month | Worldwide visits | Range | US visits | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 2026 | 764,659 | 634K to 895K | 153,669 | 119K to 188K |
| January 2027 | 756,036 | 615K to 897K | 150,412 | 114K to 187K |
| February 2027 | 749,999 | 599K to 901K | 148,132 | 109K to 187K |
| March 2027 | 745,773 | 584K to 908K | 146,536 | 105K to 188K |
| April 2027 | 742,816 | 570K to 916K | 145,418 | 101K to 190K |
| May 2027 | 740,745 | 557K to 924K | 144,636 | 97.4K to 192K |
Month
- December 2026
- Worldwide visits
- 764,659
- Range
- 634K to 895K
- US visits
- 153,669
- Range
- 119K to 188K
- January 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 756,036
- Range
- 615K to 897K
- US visits
- 150,412
- Range
- 114K to 187K
- February 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 749,999
- Range
- 599K to 901K
- US visits
- 148,132
- Range
- 109K to 187K
- March 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 745,773
- Range
- 584K to 908K
- US visits
- 146,536
- Range
- 105K to 188K
- April 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 742,816
- Range
- 570K to 916K
- US visits
- 145,418
- Range
- 101K to 190K
- May 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 740,745
- Range
- 557K to 924K
- US visits
- 144,636
- Range
- 97.4K to 192K
6What the forecast expects for the ten most-visited sites
The forecast expects TrainerRoad (+4%) to rise, and Runna (-20%), Tempo (-4%), Volt Athletics (-20%) and JuggernautAI (-3%) to fall; the rest are within 3% of October 2026. Single sites are harder to forecast than the whole market, so their ranges are wider.
| Site | October 2026 | November 2026 forecast | Range | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FitnessAI | 360,197 | 368,277 | 335K to 401K | +2.2% |
 Runna | 239,207 | 190,409 | 152K to 229K | -20.4% |
 TrainerRoad | 111,093 | 115,702 | 46.3K to 185K | +4.1% |
 Freeletics | 59,117 | 60,123 | 49.1K to 71.2K | +1.7% |
 Tempo | 14,342 | 13,847 | 11.7K to 16.0K | -3.5% |
 Volt Athletics | 4,812 | 3,831 | 1.5K to 6.1K | -20.4% |
 JuggernautAI | 4,001 | 3,876 | 2.9K to 4.9K | -3.1% |
 SmartGym | 2,528 | 2,496 | 2.1K to 2.9K | -1.3% |
 Dr. Muscle | 2,016 | 2,032 | 1.4K to 2.7K | +0.8% |
 TriDot | 1,620 | 1,624 | 1.4K to 1.8K | +0.2% |
Site
- October 2026
- 360,197
- November 2026 forecast
- 368,277
- Range
- 335K to 401K
- Change
- +2.2%
- October 2026
- 239,207
- November 2026 forecast
- 190,409
- Range
- 152K to 229K
- Change
- -20.4%
- October 2026
- 111,093
- November 2026 forecast
- 115,702
- Range
- 46.3K to 185K
- Change
- +4.1%
- October 2026
- 59,117
- November 2026 forecast
- 60,123
- Range
- 49.1K to 71.2K
- Change
- +1.7%
- October 2026
- 14,342
- November 2026 forecast
- 13,847
- Range
- 11.7K to 16.0K
- Change
- -3.5%
- October 2026
- 4,812
- November 2026 forecast
- 3,831
- Range
- 1.5K to 6.1K
- Change
- -20.4%
- October 2026
- 4,001
- November 2026 forecast
- 3,876
- Range
- 2.9K to 4.9K
- Change
- -3.1%
- October 2026
- 2,528
- November 2026 forecast
- 2,496
- Range
- 2.1K to 2.9K
- Change
- -1.3%
- October 2026
- 2,016
- November 2026 forecast
- 2,032
- Range
- 1.4K to 2.7K
- Change
- +0.8%
- October 2026
- 1,620
- November 2026 forecast
- 1,624
- Range
- 1.4K to 1.8K
- Change
- +0.2%
Source: DataForSEO.
Runna is held to its own range from October 2026. Together the ten come to 762,217, inside the market forecast of 776,979 for every tracked site.
Miles explains
TrainerRoad has the biggest expected rise (+4%). Single sites are much harder to call than the whole market, so read these as direction, not promises.
7What could change the forecast
What could knock November 2026 off course:
- A big site winning or losing a page-one position for “ai fitness app”.
- A Google update.
- A site going offline.
- A news story that spikes interest for a week and then fades.
None of these are in the numbers until they happen, which is why the range exists.