AI essay writer market forecast, November 2026
Miles FosterOwner and tester, RankDude
The forecast▲ Risingthrough May 2027
- November vs October
- +1.3%
- May 2027, six months out
- +8.8%
- Past forecasts in range
- 2 of 6
Each month I forecast Google visits to the AI essay writer sites I track, then score myself when the real number lands. For November 2026 I expect about 32 million visits, about the same as in October 2026.
Below: how my last forecast did, the next six months and site by site.
Made 2 November 2026 from the October 2026 data. Data from DataForSEO, Google Trends via DataForSEO, Tranco and Ahrefs · not a ranking
AI essay writer forecast: the key numbers for November 2026
- Expected in November32Mvisits+1% vs October
- Likely range26M–38Mvisits in November
- Expected in May 202734Mvisits+9% six months out
- Forecasts in range2 of 6monthswhen the method was tested
Visits from Google search to the tracked sites, a month. Hover or tap the chart for each month.
- The AI essay writer sites RankDude tracks got 31,570,486 visits from Google search in October 2026.
- The forecast for November 2026 is 31,993,272 visits, about the same as October 2026, likely between 26M and 38M.
- That is up on November 2025, when the same sites had 11,934,029 visits.
1How accurate is this forecast?
In plain words: Tested on the last 6 months, it missed by 18% on average.
- Tested on
- the last 6 months, as if their numbers were unknown
- Average miss
- 18%
- Inside the range
- 2 of 6 months
- Direction called right
- 3 of 6 months
- Next month
- this section scores the real forecast
The backtest, month by month
| Month | Would have forecast | Range | Actual | Miss | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | 12,353,705 | 11M to 13M | 14,067,289 | +13.9% | missed |
| June 2026 | 13,135,865 | 12M to 14M | 17,537,420 | +33.5% | missed |
| July 2026 | 17,379,010 | 15M to 20M | 19,982,357 | +15.0% | missed |
| August 2026 | 20,118,211 | 17M to 23M | 22,631,130 | +12.5% | in range |
| September 2026 | 22,918,270 | 19M to 26M | 25,988,547 | +13.4% | in range |
| October 2026 | 26,398,355 | 22M to 30M | 31,570,486 | +19.6% | missed |
Month
- May 2026
- Would have forecast
- 12,353,705
- Range
- 11M to 13M
- Actual
- 14,067,289
- Miss
- +13.9%
- Result
- missed
- June 2026
- Would have forecast
- 13,135,865
- Range
- 12M to 14M
- Actual
- 17,537,420
- Miss
- +33.5%
- Result
- missed
- July 2026
- Would have forecast
- 17,379,010
- Range
- 15M to 20M
- Actual
- 19,982,357
- Miss
- +15.0%
- Result
- missed
- August 2026
- Would have forecast
- 20,118,211
- Range
- 17M to 23M
- Actual
- 22,631,130
- Miss
- +12.5%
- Result
- in range
- September 2026
- Would have forecast
- 22,918,270
- Range
- 19M to 26M
- Actual
- 25,988,547
- Miss
- +13.4%
- Result
- in range
- October 2026
- Would have forecast
- 26,398,355
- Range
- 22M to 30M
- Actual
- 31,570,486
- Miss
- +19.6%
- Result
- missed
Each row uses only data from before that month.
Miles explains
2 of 6 in range is honest, not perfect. The biggest miss was June 2026 (+34%), the kind of month when one big site jumps. That’s why the range is wide.
2What is the market doing now?
Visits are up on a year ago (+152%), and the last three months were higher than the three before. Name searches are up (+591% since October 2025). Recent months are getting stronger; the forecast expects November 2026 to be about the same as October 2026.
- Visits, October 2026
- 31,570,486 (+21.5% on the month before, +152.3% on a year ago)
- Last 3 months vs the 3 before
- +55.4%
- 24-month peak
- 31,570,486 in October 2026
- Name searches, US
- +591.2% since October 2025
- Google Trends, "ai essay writer"
- 7/100 (-61.1% on a year ago)
- 12-month trend
- +9.5% a month; the forecast carries part of the slope, fading
WorldChange in visits, month on month, worldwide
Green grew, red shrank. Source: DataForSEO.
Miles explains
Big green or red bars are usually one site winning or losing a Google ranking, not the whole market moving. What I watch is the last three months against the three before: +55%.
3Is November usually a big month or a quiet one?
November is usually a bigger month than average (13% above) for searches for “ai essay writer”. But the sites’ visits follow rankings more than the calendar, so the pattern is shown and not allowed to move the numbers.
- November index
- 113 (100 = an average month)
- On the calendar
- Black Friday and Cyber Monday and Thanksgiving (US)
- Biggest months
- February, March, April, October and November
- Quietest months
- June, July and August
- Used in this forecast?
- No: average miss 18% as chosen, 18% without the pattern, 35.4% always with it
WorldHow busy each month usually is, worldwide (100 = average)
Source: Google Trends, five years.
Miles explains
I tested the calendar against the last months and it made the forecast worse (35.4% average miss with it, 18% without), so I show it but leave it out.
4What to expect in November 2026
About 32M visits in November 2026, about the same as October 2026. The likely range is 26M to 38M.
| Measure | Last known | Forecast | Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Search visits, worldwide | 31,570,486 | 31,993,272 | 26M to 38M |
| Search visits, US | 2,006,752 | 1,986,421 | 1.6M to 2.3M |
| Brand-name searches a month, US (last known: September 2026) | 9,287,230 | 11,748,883 | 9.1M to 14M |
| Searches for “ai essay writer”, US (last known: September 2026) | 4,400 | 5,530 | 3.2K to 7.8K |
Measure
- Search visits, worldwide
- Last known
- 31,570,486
- Forecast
- 31,993,272
- Range
- 26M to 38M
- Search visits, US
- Last known
- 2,006,752
- Forecast
- 1,986,421
- Range
- 1.6M to 2.3M
- Brand-name searches a month, US (last known: September 2026)
- Last known
- 9,287,230
- Forecast
- 11,748,883
- Range
- 9.1M to 14M
- Searches for “ai essay writer”, US (last known: September 2026)
- Last known
- 4,400
- Forecast
- 5,530
- Range
- 3.2K to 7.8K
Source: DataForSEO and Google Ads.
5What to expect over the next six months
By May 2027 the forecast expects about 34,341,432 visits a month, +9% on the 31,570,486 of October 2026, so the next six months look like growth.
| Month | Worldwide visits | Range | US visits | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 2026 | 32,791,648 | 26M to 40M | 2,001,111 | 1.6M to 2.4M |
| January 2027 | 33,350,511 | 26M to 41M | 2,011,394 | 1.6M to 2.4M |
| February 2027 | 33,741,716 | 25M to 42M | 2,018,592 | 1.6M to 2.5M |
| March 2027 | 34,015,559 | 25M to 43M | 2,023,630 | 1.5M to 2.5M |
| April 2027 | 34,207,249 | 24M to 44M | 2,027,157 | 1.5M to 2.6M |
| May 2027 | 34,341,432 | 24M to 45M | 2,029,626 | 1.5M to 2.6M |
Month
- December 2026
- Worldwide visits
- 32,791,648
- Range
- 26M to 40M
- US visits
- 2,001,111
- Range
- 1.6M to 2.4M
- January 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 33,350,511
- Range
- 26M to 41M
- US visits
- 2,011,394
- Range
- 1.6M to 2.4M
- February 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 33,741,716
- Range
- 25M to 42M
- US visits
- 2,018,592
- Range
- 1.6M to 2.5M
- March 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 34,015,559
- Range
- 25M to 43M
- US visits
- 2,023,630
- Range
- 1.5M to 2.5M
- April 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 34,207,249
- Range
- 24M to 44M
- US visits
- 2,027,157
- Range
- 1.5M to 2.6M
- May 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 34,341,432
- Range
- 24M to 45M
- US visits
- 2,029,626
- Range
- 1.5M to 2.6M
6What the forecast expects for the ten most-visited sites
The forecast expects Paperpal (+8%) and Jenni (+7%) to rise, and Prepostseo (-5%), Undetectable AI (-7%) and JotBot (-12%) to fall; the rest are within 3% of October 2026. Single sites are harder to forecast than the whole market, so their ranges are wider.
| Site | October 2026 | November 2026 forecast | Range | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Claude | 28,705,332 | 29,345,125 | 14M to 44M | +2.2% |
 Paperpal | 733,563 | 790,759 | 628K to 954K | +7.8% |
 Prepostseo | 538,908 | 511,976 | 422K to 602K | -5.0% |
 Undetectable AI | 492,126 | 456,960 | 338K to 576K | -7.1% |
 Aithor | 357,229 | 362,195 | 174K to 550K | +1.4% |
 Jenni | 329,567 | 351,539 | 186K to 517K | +6.7% |
 The Good AI | 54,375 | 53,175 | 45.6K to 60.8K | -2.2% |
 PerfectEssayWriter.ai | 45,189 | 44,887 | 36.9K to 52.8K | -0.7% |
 Samwell | 40,490 | 40,185 | 32.3K to 48.1K | -0.8% |
 JotBot | 40,405 | 35,411 | 23.6K to 47.2K | -12.4% |
Site
- October 2026
- 28,705,332
- November 2026 forecast
- 29,345,125
- Range
- 14M to 44M
- Change
- +2.2%
- October 2026
- 733,563
- November 2026 forecast
- 790,759
- Range
- 628K to 954K
- Change
- +7.8%
- October 2026
- 538,908
- November 2026 forecast
- 511,976
- Range
- 422K to 602K
- Change
- -5.0%
- October 2026
- 492,126
- November 2026 forecast
- 456,960
- Range
- 338K to 576K
- Change
- -7.1%
- October 2026
- 357,229
- November 2026 forecast
- 362,195
- Range
- 174K to 550K
- Change
- +1.4%
- October 2026
- 329,567
- November 2026 forecast
- 351,539
- Range
- 186K to 517K
- Change
- +6.7%
- October 2026
- 54,375
- November 2026 forecast
- 53,175
- Range
- 45.6K to 60.8K
- Change
- -2.2%
- October 2026
- 45,189
- November 2026 forecast
- 44,887
- Range
- 36.9K to 52.8K
- Change
- -0.7%
- October 2026
- 40,490
- November 2026 forecast
- 40,185
- Range
- 32.3K to 48.1K
- Change
- -0.8%
- October 2026
- 40,405
- November 2026 forecast
- 35,411
- Range
- 23.6K to 47.2K
- Change
- -12.4%
Source: DataForSEO.
Together the ten come to 31,992,212, inside the market forecast of 31,993,272 for every tracked site.
Miles explains
Paperpal has the biggest expected rise (+8%). Single sites are much harder to call than the whole market, so read these as direction, not promises.
7What could change the forecast
What could knock November 2026 off course:
- A big site winning or losing a page-one position for “ai essay writer”.
- A Google update.
- A site going offline.
- A news story that spikes interest for a week and then fades.
None of these are in the numbers until they happen, which is why the range exists.