AI dating app market forecast, November 2026
Miles FosterOwner and tester, RankDude
The forecast■ Flatthrough May 2027
- November vs October
- -6.0%
- May 2027, six months out
- -0.6%
- Past forecasts in range
- 4 of 6
Each month I forecast Google visits to the AI dating app sites I track, then score myself when the real number lands. For November 2026 I expect about 256,905 visits, 6% fewer than in October 2026.
Below: how my last forecast did, the next six months and site by site.
Made 2 November 2026 from the October 2026 data. Data from DataForSEO, Google Trends via DataForSEO, Tranco and Ahrefs · not a ranking
AI dating app forecast: the key numbers for November 2026
- Expected in November257Kvisits-6% vs October
- Likely range140K–374Kvisits in November
- Expected in May 2027272Kvisits-1% six months out
- Forecasts in range4 of 6monthswhen the method was tested
Visits from Google search to the tracked sites, a month. Hover or tap the chart for each month.
- The AI dating app sites RankDude tracks got 273,395 visits from Google search in October 2026.
- The forecast for November 2026 is 256,905 visits, down by about 6% on October 2026, likely between 140K and 374K.
- That is about level with November 2025, when the same sites had 251,332 visits.
1How accurate is this forecast?
In plain words: Tested on the last 6 months, it missed by 28.5% on average.
- Tested on
- the last 6 months, as if their numbers were unknown
- Average miss
- 28.5%
- Inside the range
- 4 of 6 months
- Direction called right
- 3 of 6 months
- Next month
- this section scores the real forecast
The backtest, month by month
| Month | Would have forecast | Range | Actual | Miss | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | 325,012 | 258K to 392K | 350,136 | +7.7% | in range |
| June 2026 | 319,141 | 294K to 345K | 150,146 | -53.0% | missed |
| July 2026 | 165,172 | 77.6K to 253K | 120,926 | -26.8% | in range |
| August 2026 | 149,773 | 70.4K to 229K | 158,057 | +5.5% | in range |
| September 2026 | 144,293 | 67.8K to 221K | 190,829 | +32.3% | in range |
| October 2026 | 188,027 | 127K to 249K | 273,395 | +45.4% | missed |
Month
- May 2026
- Would have forecast
- 325,012
- Range
- 258K to 392K
- Actual
- 350,136
- Miss
- +7.7%
- Result
- in range
- June 2026
- Would have forecast
- 319,141
- Range
- 294K to 345K
- Actual
- 150,146
- Miss
- -53.0%
- Result
- missed
- July 2026
- Would have forecast
- 165,172
- Range
- 77.6K to 253K
- Actual
- 120,926
- Miss
- -26.8%
- Result
- in range
- August 2026
- Would have forecast
- 149,773
- Range
- 70.4K to 229K
- Actual
- 158,057
- Miss
- +5.5%
- Result
- in range
- September 2026
- Would have forecast
- 144,293
- Range
- 67.8K to 221K
- Actual
- 190,829
- Miss
- +32.3%
- Result
- in range
- October 2026
- Would have forecast
- 188,027
- Range
- 127K to 249K
- Actual
- 273,395
- Miss
- +45.4%
- Result
- missed
Each row uses only data from before that month.
Miles explains
4 of 6 in range is honest, not perfect. The biggest miss was June 2026 (-53%), the kind of month when one big site jumps. That’s why the range is wide.
2What is the market doing now?
Visits are down on a year ago (-18%), and the last three months were about level with the three before. Name searches are down (-18% since October 2025). Recent months are level, yet the forecast expects November 2026 to be down on October 2026, because it averages October 2026 with the months before it, which were lower. The backtest below shows how often this method calls the direction right.
- Visits, October 2026
- 273,395 (+43.3% on the month before, -17.5% on a year ago)
- Last 3 months vs the 3 before
- +0.2%
- 24-month peak
- 768,147 in April 2025
- Name searches, US
- -17.9% since October 2025
- Google Trends, "ai dating app"
- 13/100 (-75.5% on a year ago)
- 12-month trend
- -2.4% a month; the forecast carries the level of recent months, not the slope
WorldChange in visits, month on month, worldwide
Green grew, red shrank. Source: DataForSEO.
Miles explains
Big green or red bars are usually one site winning or losing a Google ranking, not the whole market moving. What I watch is the last three months against the three before: +0.2%.
3Is November usually a big month or a quiet one?
November is usually a quieter month than average (2% below) for searches for “ai dating app”. That pattern helps the forecast this month, so it is used.
- November index
- 98 (100 = an average month)
- On the calendar
- Black Friday and Cyber Monday and Thanksgiving (US)
- Biggest months
- April
- Quietest months
- February and July
- Used in this forecast?
- Yes: average miss 28.5% as chosen, 30.3% without the pattern, 28.5% always with it
WorldHow busy each month usually is, worldwide (100 = average)
Source: Google Trends, five years.
Miles explains
I tested the calendar and it helped (28.5% average miss with it, 30.3% without), so it’s in this month’s numbers.
4What to expect in November 2026
About 257K visits in November 2026, down 6% on October 2026. The likely range is 140K to 374K.
| Measure | Last known | Forecast | Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Search visits, worldwide | 273,395 | 256,905 | 140K to 374K |
| Search visits, US | 57,082 | 54,941 | 36.8K to 73.1K |
| Brand-name searches a month, US (last known: September 2026) | 338,170 | 333,545 | 295K to 372K |
| Searches for “ai dating app”, US (last known: September 2026) | 3,600 | 3,514 | 3.1K to 3.9K |
Measure
- Search visits, worldwide
- Last known
- 273,395
- Forecast
- 256,905
- Range
- 140K to 374K
- Search visits, US
- Last known
- 57,082
- Forecast
- 54,941
- Range
- 36.8K to 73.1K
- Brand-name searches a month, US (last known: September 2026)
- Last known
- 338,170
- Forecast
- 333,545
- Range
- 295K to 372K
- Searches for “ai dating app”, US (last known: September 2026)
- Last known
- 3,600
- Forecast
- 3,514
- Range
- 3.1K to 3.9K
Source: DataForSEO and Google Ads.
5What to expect over the next six months
By May 2027 the forecast expects about 271,645 visits a month, -1% on the 273,395 of October 2026, so the next six months look uneven: as high as 298K in April 2027 (+9%), then back about level with October 2026 by May 2027.
| Month | Worldwide visits | Range | US visits | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 2026 | 278,752 | 140K to 418K | 59,613 | 38.0K to 81.3K |
| January 2027 | 249,271 | 113K to 385K | 53,308 | 32.2K to 74.4K |
| February 2027 | 235,584 | 96.5K to 375K | 50,381 | 28.8K to 72.0K |
| March 2027 | 289,281 | 105K to 473K | 61,864 | 33.3K to 90.4K |
| April 2027 | 298,494 | 95.2K to 502K | 63,835 | 32.2K to 95.4K |
| May 2027 | 271,645 | 74.3K to 469K | 58,093 | 27.4K to 88.8K |
Month
- December 2026
- Worldwide visits
- 278,752
- Range
- 140K to 418K
- US visits
- 59,613
- Range
- 38.0K to 81.3K
- January 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 249,271
- Range
- 113K to 385K
- US visits
- 53,308
- Range
- 32.2K to 74.4K
- February 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 235,584
- Range
- 96.5K to 375K
- US visits
- 50,381
- Range
- 28.8K to 72.0K
- March 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 289,281
- Range
- 105K to 473K
- US visits
- 61,864
- Range
- 33.3K to 90.4K
- April 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 298,494
- Range
- 95.2K to 502K
- US visits
- 63,835
- Range
- 32.2K to 95.4K
- May 2027
- Worldwide visits
- 271,645
- Range
- 74.3K to 469K
- US visits
- 58,093
- Range
- 27.4K to 88.8K
6What the forecast expects for the 9 most-visited sites
The forecast expects Wingman Live (+4%) to rise, and Keeper (-8%), WingAI (-11%) and YourMove (-4%) to fall; the rest are within 3% of October 2026. Single sites are harder to forecast than the whole market, so their ranges are wider.
| Site | October 2026 | November 2026 forecast | Range | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149,576 | 137,605 | 55.0K to 220K | -8.0% | |
| 60,116 | 58,434 | 44.4K to 72.5K | -2.8% | |
| 35,992 | 35,511 | 25.9K to 45.2K | -1.3% | |
| 17,844 | 15,973 | 9.0K to 22.9K | -10.5% | |
| 5,478 | 5,264 | 4.8K to 5.7K | -3.9% | |
| 2,773 | 2,810 | 2.3K to 3.4K | +1.3% | |
| 710 | 695 | 559 to 831 | -2.1% | |
| 642 | 670 | 405 to 935 | +4.4% | |
| 264 | 258 | 163 to 353 | -2.3% |
Site
- October 2026
- 149,576
- November 2026 forecast
- 137,605
- Range
- 55.0K to 220K
- Change
- -8.0%
- October 2026
- 60,116
- November 2026 forecast
- 58,434
- Range
- 44.4K to 72.5K
- Change
- -2.8%
- October 2026
- 35,992
- November 2026 forecast
- 35,511
- Range
- 25.9K to 45.2K
- Change
- -1.3%
- October 2026
- 17,844
- November 2026 forecast
- 15,973
- Range
- 9.0K to 22.9K
- Change
- -10.5%
- October 2026
- 5,478
- November 2026 forecast
- 5,264
- Range
- 4.8K to 5.7K
- Change
- -3.9%
- October 2026
- 2,773
- November 2026 forecast
- 2,810
- Range
- 2.3K to 3.4K
- Change
- +1.3%
- October 2026
- 710
- November 2026 forecast
- 695
- Range
- 559 to 831
- Change
- -2.1%
- October 2026
- 642
- November 2026 forecast
- 670
- Range
- 405 to 935
- Change
- +4.4%
- October 2026
- 264
- November 2026 forecast
- 258
- Range
- 163 to 353
- Change
- -2.3%
Source: DataForSEO.
The 9 site forecasts add up to 257,220, more than the market forecast of 256,905 for every tracked site. Each site is forecast from its own months, with the weighting and the seasonal pattern that suited that site best, and the market from the total, so the two need not add up. Read the site figures one at a time, not as a sum.
Miles explains
Wingman Live has the biggest expected rise (+4%). Single sites are much harder to call than the whole market, so read these as direction, not promises.
7What could change the forecast
What could knock November 2026 off course:
- A big site winning or losing a page-one position for “ai dating app”.
- A Google update.
- A site going offline.
- A news story that spikes interest for a week and then fades.
None of these are in the numbers until they happen, which is why the range exists.
